Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.