Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 43.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.