Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.