Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.