Segunda Division Gameweek 24
Jan 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Anxo Carro
  • Jaume Cuellar 66' goal
  • goal Alex Millan 54'
  • goal Oscar Whalley 67' (OG)

Lugo vs Villarreal II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugo

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 3.15pm
Mirandes 2 - 0 Lugo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Chris Ramos

Villarreal II

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.15pm
Villarreal II 2 - 3 Zaragoza
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Diego Collado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Lugo 42.15% (-0.16)
Draw 28.56% (-0.05)
Villarreal II 29.29% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.69% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.61% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 61.39% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 18.72% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 81.28% (-0.15)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5 71.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.63% (-0.02)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5 62.75% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 37.25% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 25.97% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 74.04% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Lugo 42.15%
Draw 28.55%
Villarreal II 29.28%
Lugo
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.72% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.55%
Villarreal II
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.51% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.23% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29.28%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal
  • Fernando Nino 35' goal
  • Sergio Lozano 52' goal
  • Diego Collado 66' goal
  • goal Chris Ramos 77'