Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.