Segunda Division | Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro

Lugo
0 - 0
Zaragoza

FT
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Levante 3-1 Lugo
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Burgos
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawReal Zaragoza
26.12% (0.145 0.15)29.4% (-0.455 -0.46)44.48% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 40.85% (1.146 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.72% (1.369 1.37)65.28% (-1.371 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.91% (0.942 0.94)84.08% (-0.944 -0.94)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.88% (0.934 0.93)42.12% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.46% (0.798 0.8)78.54% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.85600000000001 0.86)29.41% (-0.857 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (1.033 1.03)65.41% (-1.035 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 26.12%
    Real Zaragoza 44.48%
    Draw 29.38%
LugoDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.67% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.63% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 26.12%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 15.16% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 9.28% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.178 0.18)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 44.48%

How you voted: Lugo vs Zaragoza

Lugo
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Real Zaragoza
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 8pm
Zaragoza
1-2
Lugo
Simeone (45+3')
Valderrama (20')
Ramos (56', 90+7')
May 20, 2022 8pm
Zaragoza
1-0
Lugo
Vada (74')
Alvarez (18'), Chavarria (42')

Moyano (51'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Torres (59')
Sep 26, 2021 7.30pm
Lugo
1-1
Zaragoza
Ramos (28')
Torres (69')
Sainz (32' pen.)
Nano (64')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Lugo
2-2
Zaragoza
Barreiro (44'), Venancio (82')
Varo (62'), Juanpe (90+6')
Adrian (64' pen.), Alvarez (90+7')
Peybernes (68'), Azon (78')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
Zaragoza
1-0
Lugo
Chavarria (69')
Amador (64'), Chavarria (88')

Torres (12'), Valentin (40')