Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.