Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	UD Ibiza
57.73% ( 0.19)	25.39% ( -0.08)	16.87% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 40.03% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.46% (

0.14)

60.53% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.35% (

0.11)

80.64% (

-0.11)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

0.13)

21.07% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.21)

53.89% (

-0.21)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.72% (

-0.05)

49.27% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.85% (

-0.03)

84.15% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Alaves 57.72%

UD Ibiza 16.87%

Draw 25.39%

Alaves	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 16.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.72%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.87%