Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.