Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Cartagena
45.96% ( 1.59)	28.66% ( 0.21)	25.38% ( -1.8)

Both teams to score 42.11% (

-1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.57% (

-1.55)

63.43% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.22% (

-1.12)

82.78% (

1.13)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

0.09)

27.73% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

0.12)

63.29% (

-0.12)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

-2.46)

41.72% (

2.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

-2.23)

78.19% (

2.23)

Score Analysis

Granada 45.96%

Cartagena 25.38%

Draw 28.65%

Granada	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.38%