Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cartagena in this match.