Segunda Division | Gameweek 33
Mar 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 0
Lugo

Poveda (54'), Franchu (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal II 5-2 Cartagena
Sunday, March 19 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Lugo 1-1 Racing
Sunday, March 19 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawLugo
57.89% (0.0039999999999978 0)24.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.47% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.83% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.82% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)44.18% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.73% (-0.012 -0.01)80.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 57.89%
    Lugo 18.05%
    Draw 24.06%
CartagenaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 13.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92%
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Cartagena vs Lugo

Cartagena
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Lugo
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2022 8pm
Lugo
1-1
Cartagena
Ramos (25')
Ortuno (17' pen.)
Datkovic (52')
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Lugo
1-0
Cartagena
Torres (45')
Alende (22'), Barreiro (23')

Alcala (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 8pm
Cartagena
2-1
Lugo
Castro (33' pen., 84')
Andujar (15'), Silva (60'), Claveria (68')
Barreiro (17')
Barreiro (79'), Albes Yanez (88')
May 24, 2021 8pm
Lugo
2-1
Cartagena
Valentin (19', 67')
Quindimil Rodriguez (43'), Barreiro (45+2'), Ruiz (61'), Venancio (67')
Angel (72')
de Blasis (86')
Oct 4, 2020 7.30pm
Cartagena
2-1
Lugo
Zorrilla (29'), Gallar (61')
Zorrilla (1'), Simon (35'), de la Bella (84')
Angel Carrillo (88')
Seoane (27'), Campabadal (31'), Djalo (67'), Dominguez (69'), Torres (90+6')