Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.