Segunda Division | Gameweek 32
Mar 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal

Villarreal II
5 - 2
Cartagena

Millan (9'), de la Fuente (73' pen.), Pacheco (90+3'), Fores (90+5'), Iosifov (90+9' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Valle (20'), Kiko (29')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: UD Ibiza 0-0 Villarreal II
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 0-3 FC Andorra
Sunday, March 12 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawCartagena
30.83% (-0.354 -0.35)28.35% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)40.82% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 45.9% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.81% (0.212 0.21)60.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.62% (0.161 0.16)80.38% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)35.41% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (-0.155 -0.16)72.17% (0.15700000000001 0.16)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.355 0.36)28.94% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.438 0.44)64.82% (-0.437 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 30.82%
    Cartagena 40.82%
    Draw 28.33%
Villarreal IIDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.82%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.33%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 40.82%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2022 6pm
Cartagena
0-1
Villarreal II
Pacheco (55')
Romero (45+1')