Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Racing de Santander
27.48% ( -0.16)	28.79% ( 0.06)	43.74% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 43.17% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.18% (

-0.26)

62.82% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.67% (

-0.19)

82.33% (

0.19)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.47% (

-0.28)

39.53% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.79% (

-0.26)

76.21% (

0.27)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

-0.07)

28.61% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59% (

-0.09)

64.41% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 27.47%

Racing de Santander 43.73%

Draw 28.78%

Villarreal II	Draw	Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.47%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 14.15% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 43.73%