Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 27.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.