Segunda Division | Gameweek 26
Feb 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 1
Racing

Espiau (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cabanzon (79')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Ponferradina
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Tenerife
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawRacing de Santander
40.6% (-0.618 -0.62)29.22% (0.159 0.16)30.18% (0.46 0.46)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.231 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.75% (-0.372 -0.37)63.25% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.35% (-0.27 -0.27)82.65% (0.271 0.27)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-0.541 -0.54)30.58% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (-0.647 -0.65)66.81% (0.64899999999999 0.65)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.156 0.16)37.57% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.152 0.15)74.35% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 40.59%
    Racing de Santander 30.18%
    Draw 29.21%
PonferradinaDrawRacing de Santander
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.49% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 1pm
Racing
1-1
Ponferradina
Vicente (19')
Naranjo (64')
Naranjo (23')
Jun 24, 2020 8.45pm
Ponferradina
1-1
Racing
De Souza (29')
Sielva (42'), Crespo (82'), Russo (90+5')
Nando (9')
Kitoko (23'), Hernando (28'), Nkaka (44'), Olaortua (73'), Carmona (76'), Figueras (90+4')
Nov 10, 2019 5pm
Racing
2-2
Ponferradina
Cejudo (57'), Marong (92')
Olaortua (19'), Delgado (44'), Lombardo (55'), Bunuel (76')
Delgado (95')
Isi (68'), Yuri (84' pen.)
Russo (40'), Diori (43'), Larrea (59')