Segunda Division | Gameweek 32
Mar 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro

Lugo
1 - 1
Racing

Aviles (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sanchez (90+8')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Racing de Santander.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Lugo
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Racing de Santander

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Huesca
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (13.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawRacing de Santander
31.9% (0.449 0.45)31.03% (0.211 0.21)37.06% (-0.664 -0.66)
Both teams to score 39.29% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.66% (-0.537 -0.54)68.33% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.84% (-0.357 -0.36)86.15% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.034999999999997 0.03)39.11% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (0.032 0.03)75.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Racing de Santander Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (-0.732 -0.73)35.46% (0.727 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (-0.763 -0.76)72.23% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 31.9%
    Racing de Santander 37.06%
    Draw 31.02%
LugoDrawRacing de Santander
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 31.9%
0-0 @ 13.87% (0.27 0.27)
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.02%
0-1 @ 14.38%
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.06%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2022 3.15pm
Racing
0-1
Lugo
Ramos (61')
Juanpe (50')
Jun 13, 2020 4pm
Racing
1-2
Lugo
Cejudo (12')
Hernando (2'), Kitoko (20'), Olaortua (40')
Hernando (57')
Hacen (58'), Pita (70')
Hacen (8'), Kravets (48')
Nov 17, 2019 5.30pm
Lugo
1-1
Racing
Barreiro (74')
Peybernes (60'), Barreiro (90')
Yoda (31')
Alexis (38'), Cejudo (57'), Kitoko (73')