Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 41.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.