Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.