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Segunda Division | Gameweek 23
Jan 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa

Eibar
2 - 1
Malaga

Stoichkov (32'), Berrocal (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burgos (88')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-0 UD Ibiza
Sunday, January 8 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Tenerife
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawMalaga
56.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)25.93% (0.131 0.13)17.71% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 40.12% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76% (-0.589 -0.59)61.23% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.83% (-0.443 -0.44)81.16% (0.435 0.44)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.242 -0.24)21.93% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (-0.363 -0.36)55.2% (0.357 0.36)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (-0.544 -0.54)48.61% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (-0.394 -0.39)83.67% (0.386 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 56.34%
    Malaga 17.71%
    Draw 25.92%
EibarDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 16.17% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.65% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.05 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.71%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3.15pm
Malaga
0-1
Eibar
Quique (21')
Troncho (43')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Malaga
1-3
Eibar
Brandon (4')
Jimenez (43'), Enriquez (45'), Medina (50'), Barrio (69'), de la Fuente (70'), Brandon (90+4'), Gomez (90+5')
Escassi (31'), Munoz (69')
Corpas (37' pen.), Sol (78', 90+6')
Tono (63'), Llorente (73'), Tejero (82')
Dec 11, 2021 7.30pm
Eibar
2-2
Malaga
Stoichkov (25' pen.), Corpas (27')
Corpas (80'), Alvarez (89')
Gassama (6'), Brandon (82')
Lomban (23')
Jan 22, 2018 8pm
Eibar
1-1
Malaga
Kike (76')
Orellana (89')
En-Nesyri (16')
Ricca (44'), Kuzmanovic (90')
Kuzmanovic (90')
Aug 21, 2017 9pm
Malaga
0-1
Eibar

Gonzalez (45'), Jony (90')
Charles (58')
Charles (3'), Kike (32'), Alejo (83')