Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.