Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Nou Estadi de Tarragona

Gimnastic
2 - 1
Malaga

Domingo (13'), Fernandez (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Diaye (32')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Gimnastic and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnastic

All competitions
Last Game: Linares 0-0 Gimnastic (6-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Alaves
Sunday, December 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gimnastic had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Gimnastic win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GimnasticDrawMalaga
23.22%27.35%49.43%
Both teams to score 43.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.36%60.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28%80.72%
Gimnastic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.28%
Score Analysis
    Gimnastic 23.22%
    Malaga 49.42%
    Draw 27.35%
GimnasticDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 23.22%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 14.56%
0-2 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-3 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 49.42%

How you voted: Gimnastic vs Malaga

Gimnastic
9.5%
Draw
23.8%
Malaga
66.7%
21
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2019 3pm
Gimnastic
0-1
Malaga

Pipa (32')
Pacheco (72')
Alejo (63'), Adrian (72'), Pacheco (83')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Malaga
2-0
Gimnastic
Kone (25'), Gonzalez
Blanco (14'), N'Diaye (34'), Ontiveros (89')

Morente (53'), Dumitru (73')
Morente (75')