Segunda Division | Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 1
Burgos

Junior (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bermejo (63')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 2-1 Malaga
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-1 FC Andorra
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawBurgos
43.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.95% (0.023 0.02)26.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 39.89% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.36% (-0.067 -0.07)66.64% (0.068000000000012 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.98% (-0.045 -0.04)85.02% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)30.71% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)66.96% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.43% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)78.8% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 43.38%
    Burgos 26.66%
    Draw 29.94%
MalagaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 15.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 43.38%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 13.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.94%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: Malaga vs Burgos

Malaga
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Burgos
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 9pm
Burgos
1-0
Malaga
Artola Canales (62')
Valcarce (68'), Grego (78')

Febas (71')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Malaga
0-1
Burgos

Peybernes (81')
Rubio (41')
Elgezabal (45+2'), Navarro (67'), Antonio Caro (90+4')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Burgos
3-0
Malaga
Valcarce (17', 67'), Manuel Garcia (61')
Rodriguez (25')