Segunda Division | Gameweek 34
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro

Lugo
0 - 0
Ponferradina

FT
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 2-0 Lugo
Friday, March 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Ponferradina 0-0 Mirandes
Sunday, March 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawPonferradina
42.77% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)28.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)29% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (-0.128 -0.13)60.38% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)80.52% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.151 -0.15)27.95% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.193 -0.19)63.58% (0.194 0.19)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (0.025999999999996 0.03)36.92% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.023 0.02)73.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 42.77%
    Ponferradina 28.99%
    Draw 28.22%
LugoDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 28.99%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 3.15pm
Ponferradina
1-0
Lugo
Naranjo (34')

Sene (43')
Apr 17, 2022 1pm
Ponferradina
3-1
Lugo
Espiau (13'), Naranjo (52'), Ojeda (54')
Amo (11'), Medina (19')
Moyano (89')
Alende (47')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Lugo
1-2
Ponferradina
Antonio Ros (57')
Joselu (90+3')
Medina (39'), Enrich (90+4')
Amo (65'), Enrich (76')
Apr 24, 2021 7.30pm
Ponferradina
2-0
Lugo
Adot (10'), De Souza (78')
Curro (28'), Aizpuru (62')

Rama (28'), Juanpe (34'), Campabadal (39'), Angel Carrillo (90+2')
Dec 11, 2020 6pm
Lugo
1-0
Ponferradina
Rama (81')

Antonio Rios (41'), Larrea (56')
Curro (43')