Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Granada	Draw	Ponferradina
64.41% ( -0.2)	21.93% ( 0.05)	13.65% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 42.27% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.41% (

0.09)

53.59% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91% (

0.08)

75.09% (

-0.08)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

-0.03)

16.02% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.63% (

-0.06)

45.36% (

0.06)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.34% (

0.29)

49.66% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.58% (

0.2)

84.42% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Granada 64.41%

Ponferradina 13.65%

Draw 21.92%

Granada	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 64.41%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 13.65%