Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Ponferradina
61.61% ( -0.81)	22.77% ( 0.25)	15.62% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 44.4% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

0.02)

53.27% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

0.02)

74.82% (

-0.03)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0.27)

16.86% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.11% (

-0.48)

46.88% (

0.48)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.4% (

0.8)

46.59% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.82% (

0.61)

82.18% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 61.6%

Ponferradina 15.62%

Draw 22.77%

Las Palmas	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.6%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 6% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.62%