Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Granada
30.34% ( 0.45)	30.15% ( -0.39)	39.51% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.94% (

1.22)

66.06% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.38% (

0.83)

84.62% (

-0.83)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98% (

1.06)

39.03% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

0.98)

75.75% (

-0.98)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

0.61)

32.68% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77% (

0.67)

69.23% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Burgos 30.34%

Granada 39.51%

Draw 30.14%

Burgos	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.52% Total : 30.34%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.14%	0-1 @ 14.26% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.51%