Segunda Division Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Toralín
  • Hugo Vallejo 66' goal

Ponferradina vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 8.00pm
Granada 2 - 2 Ponferradina
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Alaves

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 5.30pm
Alaves 0 - 0 Lugo
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Luis Rioja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Ponferradina 29.78% (+0.52)
Draw 29.33% (+0.08)
Alaves 40.89% (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.89% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.28% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 63.72% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 17.02% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 82.99% (+0.06)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 61.85% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 38.15% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 25.09% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 74.91% (-0.36)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 69.35% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 30.65% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 33.1% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 66.9% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Ponferradina 29.77%
Draw 29.32%
Alaves 40.88%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 11.26% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 6.42% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.43% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.06% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.74% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 29.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 11.69% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.32%
Alaves
0-1 @ 13.82% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 40.88%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Luis Rioja 10' goal
  • Miguel de la Fuente 29' goal
  • Yuri de Souza 71' goal
  • goal Dani Ojeda 45'+4'