Segunda Division | Gameweek 36
Apr 15, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
2 - 1
Lugo

Enrich (6'), Vallejo (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Torres (33' pen.)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Real Oviedo
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Lugo 0-0 Tenerife
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.83%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawLugo
51.78% (0.064 0.06)28.35% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)19.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 37.61% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.75% (0.091000000000001 0.09)66.24% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.25% (0.063000000000001 0.06)84.75% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.072000000000003 0.07)26.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.097999999999999 0.1)61.26% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)49.05% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (0.020000000000001 0.02)83.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 51.77%
    Lugo 19.86%
    Draw 28.34%
Real OviedoDrawLugo
1-0 @ 17.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 51.77%
0-0 @ 12.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.86%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 3.15pm
Lugo
0-0
Real Oviedo

Loureiro (12')
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
Lugo
1-1
Real Oviedo
Rodriguez (56')
Claveria (75'), Torres (89')
Baston (90+2' pen.)
Rama (34')
Aug 15, 2021 6.30pm
Real Oviedo
2-2
Lugo
Rozada (30'), Obeng (33')
Mossa (17'), Ahijado (34'), Femenias (88'), Jirka (88')
Angel Carrillo (78'), Joselu (89' pen.)
Rama (23'), Valentin (55'), Antonio Ros Martinez (63')
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Real Oviedo
3-1
Lugo
Tejera (28' pen.), Fernandez Salas (62'), Nieto (88')
Gonzalez (2'), Fernandez Salas (33')
Luis Rodriguez (13')
Juanpe (11')
Nov 24, 2020 8.30pm
Lugo
0-0
Real Oviedo

Campabadal (76'), Valentin (81')

Arribas (42'), Gonzalez (64'), Ahijado (87')