Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mirandes in this match.