Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro

Lugo
2 - 2
FC Andorra

Sene (7'), Rodriguez (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bover (13'), Gil (85')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and FC Andorra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Gijon 3-1 Lugo
Monday, May 1 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 0-1 Mirandes
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawFC Andorra
33.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.53% (0.204 0.2)37.57% (-0.197 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.577 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74% (-0.714 -0.71)60.26% (0.715 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56% (-0.544 -0.54)80.44% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73% (-0.37299999999999 -0.37)33.27% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (-0.415 -0.42)69.88% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
FC Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.476 -0.48)30.9% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.566 -0.57)67.19% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 33.9%
    FC Andorra 37.57%
    Draw 28.51%
LugoDrawFC Andorra
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 12.07% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.57%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 16
FC Andorra
4-0
Lugo
Bundu (69', 74'), Bakis (78', 86')
rhs 2.0


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