Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	FC Andorra
40.78% ( 1.72)	26.63% ( -0.48)	32.6% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

1.66)

53.35% (

-1.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

1.39)

74.89% (

-1.39)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

1.71)

25.75% (

-1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

2.27)

60.68% (

-2.26)

FC Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

0.02)

30.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

0.02)

66.85% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 40.78%

FC Andorra 32.6%

Draw 26.63%

Ponferradina	Draw	FC Andorra
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.78%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.6%