Segunda Division | Gameweek 36
Apr 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos
2 - 2
Ponferradina

Curro (50' pen.), Bermejo (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ojeda (41'), Goldar (90' og.)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Huesca 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Ponferradina 0-1 Leganes
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
BurgosDrawPonferradina
39.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)31.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.52% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.96% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)81.77% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.6% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (0.023 0.02)72.37% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 39.1%
    Ponferradina 31.92%
    Draw 28.96%
BurgosDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.1%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2022 8pm
Ponferradina
1-2
Burgos
Vallejo (38')
Amo (16')
Campos (31'), Mourad (69')
May 7, 2022 8pm
Ponferradina
3-1
Burgos
Naranjo (19'), Antonio Rios (40'), Saverio (85')
Adot (90'), Moran (90+4')
Guillermo (70')
Matos (45')
Nov 14, 2021 5.15pm
Burgos
1-0
Ponferradina
Valcarce (16')
Valcarce (44')

Moran (43')
Rodriguez (90+5')