Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.