Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 41.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.