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Segunda Division | Gameweek 35
Apr 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Alcoraz

Huesca
2 - 1
Burgos

Carlos (45+1', 45+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Curro (90+6' pen.)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Huesca and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Huesca

All competitions
Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Alaves
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 2-1 Racing
Saturday, April 1 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 40.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 28.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.37%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.

Result
HuescaDrawBurgos
40.01% (-0.197 -0.2)31.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)28.81% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 38.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.69% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)69.31% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.21% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)86.79% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Huesca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.163 -0.16)34.11% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.176 -0.18)70.8% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (0.087000000000003 0.09)42.15% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.073999999999998 0.07)78.57% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Huesca 40.01%
    Burgos 28.81%
    Draw 31.17%
HuescaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 15.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.01%
0-0 @ 14.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 13.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 31.17%
0-1 @ 12.42% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.81%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2022 6pm
Burgos
1-1
Huesca
Grego (47')
Matos (39')
Munoz (45+3')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Huesca
1-0
Burgos
Rubio (22' og.)
Martinez (13'), Mateu (71'), Miguel (76'), Fernandez (90+4')

Zabaco (36')
Oct 24, 2021 5.15pm
Burgos
3-1
Huesca
Valcarce (27', 75'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Elgezabal (11'), Medina (90+1')
Salvador (12')
Nwakali (6'), Salvador (47')