La Liga Gameweek 5
Valencia
Sep 16, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Hugo Duro 5' goal
  • Hugo Duro 34' goal
  • Javi Guerra 54' goal
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 36'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 74'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 86'

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2023 8.30pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 7 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 31.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 26.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Atletico Madrid 42.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 68.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.98%
Over 1.5 31.56%
Under 1.5 68.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Valencia 31.16%
Draw 26.71%
Atletico Madrid 42.12%
Valencia
1-0 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.71%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.12%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 26
Atletico
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Valencia
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 49' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 67' goal
La Liga Gameweek 3
Valencia
Aug 29, 2022 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Maranhao 18' yellowcard
  • Gennaro Gattuso 26' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 42' yellowcard
  • Eray Comert 76' yellowcard
  • Fran Perez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 14'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 26'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 27'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 55'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 66'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Jan 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Valencia
  • Koke 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 37' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 64' goal
  • Luis Suarez 82' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 84' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 90'+1' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 90'+3' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 14'
  • goal Yunus Musah 25'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 37'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 43'
  • goal Hugo Duro 44'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 61'
  • yellowcard Toni Lato 65'
  • yellowcard Jaume Domenech 83'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Valencia
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Stefan Savic 50' goal
  • Hugo Guillamon 76' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 90'+2' goal
  • Yunus Musah 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 90'+6' goal
  • goal Luis Suarez 35'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 58'
  • goal Sime Vrsaljko 62'
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 90'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Atletico
Jan 24, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Valencia
  • Joao Felix 23' goal
  • Sime Vrsaljko 30' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 54' goal
  • Angel Correa 72' goal
  • Stefan Savic 76' yellowcard
  • goal Uros Racic 11'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Valencia
Nov 28, 2020 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico
  • Uros Racic 28' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 43'
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 62'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 76'
  • goal Toni Lato 79' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 81'
  • yellowcard Koke 83'

Form Data

Alaves 1 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 2 Osasuna
Valencia 1 - 0 Las Palmas
Sevilla 1 - 2 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Valencia 1 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 7 Atletico
Numancia 0 - 2 Atletico
Betis 0 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 3 - 1 Granada
Sevilla 1 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 0 Real Sociedad