Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 32.5% ( | 27.49% ( | 40.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% ( | 56.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( | 77.67% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( | 32.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( | 68.91% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( | 27.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.01% |