-
Miguel Almiron
17'
-
Dan Burn
39'
-
Sean Longstaff
50'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
45'+7'
-
Anthony Gordon
70'
-
Nick Pope
87'
-
Fabian Schar
90'+1'
-
Lucas Hernandez 38'
-
Achraf Hakimi 43'
-
Lucas Hernandez 56'
-
Ousmane Dembele 67'
-
Warren Zaire-Emery 81'
Newcastle United vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result
Newcastle United
30.96%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
24.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain
44.52%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
57.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.08%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
44.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
32.72%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
67.28%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
16.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
83.41%
▼
(-0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
72.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
27.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
36.99%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
63.01%
▲
(+0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5
79.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
20.29%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
47.35%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
52.66%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
Newcastle United
30.96%
Draw
24.53%
Paris Saint-Germain
44.52%
Newcastle United
2-1
@
7.42%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.96%
1-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.96%
Draw
1-1
@
11.49%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.52%
0-1 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.52%
Build-up
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