Champions League
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Miguel Almiron 17' goal
  • Dan Burn 39' goal
  • Sean Longstaff 50' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 70' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 87' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 38'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 43'
  • goal Lucas Hernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 67'
  • yellowcard Warren Zaire-Emery 81'

Newcastle United vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 5.45pm
AC Milan 0 - 0 Newcastle

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 0 Dortmund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 30.96% (-0.09)
Draw 24.53% (-0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain 44.52% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.79% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.08% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 44.92% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 32.72% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 67.28% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 16.6% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 83.41% (-0.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.5% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.99% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.01% (+0.05)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 79.71% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 20.29% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 47.35% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 52.66% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 30.96%
Draw 24.53%
Paris Saint-Germain 44.52%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.16% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.52%

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