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Champions League

Newcastle logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
PSG logo

Newcastle
4 - 1
PSG

Almiron (17'), Burn (39'), Longstaff (50'), Schar (90+1')
Guimaraes (45+7'), Gordon (70'), Pope (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hernandez (56')
Hernandez (38'), Hakimi (43'), Dembele (67'), Zaire-Emery (81')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United mark their first Champions League home game in 20 years with a dominant 4-1 win over Paris Saint-Germain.

Team News

Newcastle United's Callum Wilson and Joelinton will not be involved in tonight's Champions League clash with Paris Saint-Germain, who have Kylian Mbappe in their starting lineup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Wednesday's Champions League Group F clash with Paris Saint-Germain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 PSG
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawParis Saint-Germain
30.96% (-0.087 -0.09)24.53% (-0.023 -0.02)44.52% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.79% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (0.058 0.06)44.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (0.055999999999997 0.06)67.28% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)27.5% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)63.01% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.073999999999998 0.07)20.29% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (0.117 0.12)52.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 30.96%
    Paris Saint-Germain 44.52%
    Draw 24.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.96%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.52%

How you voted: Newcastle vs PSG

Newcastle United
32.5%
Draw
15.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
51.8%
388
rhs 2.0


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