Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Werder Bremen

Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
69.18% ( 0.06)	16.48% ( -0.01)	14.34% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 63.25% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.74% (

-0.06)

27.26% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.18% (

-0.08)

47.81% (

0.07)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.81% (

-0)

7.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.9% (

-0.01)

26.1% (

0.01)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

-0.1)

31.85% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71% (

-0.12)

68.29% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 69.18%

Werder Bremen 14.34%

Draw 16.48%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.21% 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 69.18%	1-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 16.48%	1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 14.34%