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Felix Nmecha
44'
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Julian Brandt
67'
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Leonardo Bittencourt
61'
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Jens Stage
75'
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Milos Veljkovic
83'
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Olivier Deman
90'+4'
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Marvin Ducksch
90'+5'
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Werder Bremen Goals
Score analysis
3-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.76%
5-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.21%
4-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 69.18%
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 14.34%
Head to Head
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Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
67'
-
Julian Brandt
84'
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Anthony Modeste
39'
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Emre Can
42'
-
Julian Brandt
45'+2'
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Raphael Guerreiro
77'
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Marius Wolf
83'
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Marco Reus
90'+1'
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Niclas Fullkrug
29'
-
Lee Buchanan
89'
-
Niklas Schmidt
90'+3'
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Oliver Burke
90'+5'
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Giovanni Reyna
29'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
34'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
38'
-
Mahmoud Dahoud
48'
-
Mats Hummels
87'
-
Milot Rashica
14'
-
Marco Friedl
60'
-
Milos Veljkovic
66'
-
Christian Gross
77'
-
Niklas Moisander
85'
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Kevin Mohwald
28'
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Christian Gross
54'
-
Nick Woltemade
87'
-
Romano Schmid
90'+2'
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Raphael Guerreiro
12'
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Marco Reus
35'
-
Axel Witsel
60'
-
Marco Reus
78'
-
Dan-Axel Zagadou
52'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
66'
-
Davie Selke
16'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
23'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
30'
-
Milot Rashica
70'
-
Niklas Moisander
85'
-
Nico Schulz
49'
-
Marco Reus
64'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
67'
-
Giovanni Reyna
78'
-
Giovanni Reyna
85'