Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Weserstadion
  • Romano Schmid 17' goal
  • Naby Keita 32' yellowcard
  • Marvin Ducksch 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Weiser 56' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Rapp 58' yellowcard
  • Jens Stage 90'+1' goal
  • Anthony Jung 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Maximilian Beier 8'
  • goal Grischa Promel 29'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 69'
  • yellowcard Kevin Akpoguma 72'
  • yellowcard Oliver Baumann 90'
  • goal Marius Bulter 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 90'+5'

Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 2.30pm
Darmstadt 4 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Hoffenheim 1 - 3 Dortmund
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Maximilian Beier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result

Werder Bremen 30.73% (-0.44)
Draw 22.45% (-0.01)
Hoffenheim 46.82% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.17% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.83% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 35.17% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 42.82% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 57.18% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 24.45% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 75.55% (+0.18)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 77.15% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 22.85% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 43.42% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 56.58% (+0.52)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 84.47% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 15.53% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 55.55% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 44.46% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Werder Bremen 30.73%
Draw 22.45%
Hoffenheim 46.83%
Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.55% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.45%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 9.09% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.61% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.15% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.64% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.82% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 46.83%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Amos Pieper 76' goal
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 50'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 52'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Moanes Dabour 32' goal
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 18'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2021 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sebastian Rudy 16' yellowcard
  • Ihlas Bebou 26' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 44' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 49' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 51' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 90' goal
  • yellowcard Omer Toprak 8'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Maximilian Eggestein 5' goal
  • Marco Friedl 79' yellowcard
  • Theodor Gebre Selassie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Dennis Geiger 22'
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 59'
  • yellowcard Mijat Gacinovic 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Weserstadion
  • Davy Klaassen 34' yellowcard
  • Marco Friedl 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 22'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 38'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 65' (OG)
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 79'
  • goal Sargis Adamyan 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
  • Sebastian Rudy 46' yellowcard
  • Ermin Bicakcic 54' goal
  • Ihlas Bebou 59' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 87' goal
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen 35'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 42'
  • yellowcard Johannes Eggestein 69'
  • redcard Johannes Eggestein 77'
  • goal Yuya Osako 81'
  • yellowcard Niklas Moisander 92'
  • yellowcard Martin Harnik 94'