Bundesliga
Gameweek
3
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-
Marvin Ducksch
3'
-
Jens Stage
10'
-
Jens Stage
53'
-
Marco Friedl
55'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
82'
-
Justin Njinmah
83'
-
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
2'
-
Sepp van den Berg
65'
-
Sepp van den Berg
65'+65'
Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result
Werder Bremen
33.21%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
23.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Mainz 05
42.94%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
61.2%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.13%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
40.86%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
36.74%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
63.25%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
19.58%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
80.41%
▲
(+0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5
75.85%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
24.15%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
41.53%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
58.46%
▲
(+0.23)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
80.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
19.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
48.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
51.06%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Werder Bremen
33.21%
Draw
23.84%
Mainz 05
42.94%
Werder Bremen
2-1
@
7.74%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
Draw
1-1
@
10.89%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
8.96%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%
0-1 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
27
-
Ludovic Ajorque
85'
-
Nelson Weiper
90'+3'
-
Jens Stage
87'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
90'+5'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
10
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
36'
-
Lee Jae-sung
66'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
30
-
Joshua Sargent
63'
-
Adam Szalai
16'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
66'
-
Robin Zentner
83'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
13
-
Leandro Barreiro
73'
-
Moussa Niakhate
82'
-
Maximilian Eggestein
50'
-
Eren Dinkci
90'
-
Christian Gross
90'+5'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
33
-
Robin Quaison
25'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
30'
-
Robin Quaison
40'
-
Robin Quaison
40'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
57'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
57'
-
Edimilson Fernandes
85'
-
Milos Veljkovic
22'
-
Milos Veljkovic
22'
-
Marco Friedl
35'
-
Marco Friedl
35'
-
Yuya Osako
58'
-
Ludwig Augustinsson
63'
-
Ludwig Augustinsson
63'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
16
-
Maximilian Eggestein
77'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
79'
-
Robin Quaison
10'
-
Jiri Pavlenka
15'
(OG)
-
Edimilson Fernandes
18'
-
Robin Quaison
19'
-
Robin Quaison
38'
-
Bote Baku
79'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
81'