Bundesliga
Gameweek
1
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-
Kevin Behrens
1'
-
Kevin Behrens
9'
-
Kevin Behrens
10'
-
Kevin Behrens
70'
-
Milos Pantovic
90'+6'
-
Lee Jae-sung
31'
-
Dominik Kohr
51'
-
Danny da Costa
58'
-
Anthony Caci
64'
-
Leandro Barreiro
79'
-
Sepp van den Berg
90'+1'
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Bo Svensson
90'+90'
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result
Union Berlin
50.29%
▲
(+1.18)
Draw
24.89%
▲
(+0.07)
Mainz 05
24.82%
▼
(-1.24)
Both Teams to Score:
52%
▼
(-1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.6%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 2.5
50.39%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 3.5
27.67%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 3.5
72.33%
▲
(+1.10)
Over 4.5
13.09%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 4.5
86.91%
▲
(+0.74)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5
79.95%
Under 0.5
20.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
47.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
52.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
65.04%
▼
(-1.70)
Under 0.5
34.96%
▲
(+1.70)
Over 1.5
28.3%
▼
(-1.83)
Under 1.5
71.7%
▲
(+1.83)
Score analysis
Union Berlin
50.29%
Draw
24.88%
Mainz 05
24.82%
Union Berlin
1-0
@
11.26%
▲
(+0.55)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.29%
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 50.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.83%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.88%
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.88%
Mainz 05
0-1
@
7.37%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.28)
0-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 24.82%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
19
-
Kevin Behrens
32'
-
Theoson Siebatcheu
84'
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
79'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
2
-
Karim Onisiwo
5'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
24
-
Genki Haraguchi
8'
-
Christopher Trimmel
42'
-
Sheraldo Becker
56'
-
Paul Jaeckel
67'
-
Taiwo Awoniyi
75'
-
Timo Baumgartl
90'+2'
-
Rani Khedira
90'+2'
-
Bo Svensson
12'
-
Alexander Hack
18'
-
Dominik Kohr
58'
-
Dominik Kohr
60'
-
Delano Burgzorg
90'
-
Kevin Stoger
90'+2'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
7
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
39'
-
Dominik Kohr
75'
-
Dominik Kohr
90'+2'
-
Genki Haraguchi
45'+2'
-
Robin Knoche
65'
-
Taiwo Awoniyi
69'
-
Taiwo Awoniyi
73'
-
Grischa Promel
79'
-
Max Kruse
82'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
20
-
Moussa Niakhate
22'
-
Dominik Kohr
28'
-
Leandro Barreiro
40'
-
Nico Schlotterbeck
21'
-
Cedric Teuchert
33'
-
Nico Schlotterbeck
55'
-
Robin Knoche
60'
-
Christopher Trimmel
67'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
3
-
Max Kruse
13'
-
Christopher Trimmel
33'
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
49'
-
Marvin Friedrich
63'
-
Joel Pohjanpalo
64'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
53'
-
Danny Latza
59'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
67'
-
Jeremiah St Juste
78'