DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 13, 2023 at 5pm UK

Dietmar-Hopp-Sportpark

Astoria Walldorf
0 - 4
Union Berlin

Carl (60'), Grimmer (79')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Knoche (29' pen.), Becker (38'), Leite (41'), Haberer (80')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Astoria Walldorf and Union Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Astoria Walldorf

Last Game: Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Astoria Walldorf had a probability of 3.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.77%) and 0-4 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for an Astoria Walldorf win it was 1-0 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Astoria Walldorf	Draw	Union Berlin
3.56% ( -0.01)	9.48% ( -0.01)	86.96% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 36.59% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.57% (

-0)

32.43% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.93% (

-0)

54.06%

Astoria Walldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.52% (

-0.04)

61.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.61% (

-0.02)

91.38% (

0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.99% (

-0)

5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80% (

19.99% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Astoria Walldorf 3.56%

Union Berlin 86.95%

Draw 9.48%

Astoria Walldorf	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 3.56%	1-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.08% 2-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 9.48%	0-2 @ 13.79% 0-3 @ 13.77% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( -0) 0-5 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.02% ( -0) 0-6 @ 3.08% ( 0) 1-5 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 86.95%