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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.08% ( 0.78) | 23.51% ( -0.22) | 24.41% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( 0.45) | 44.93% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.72% ( 0.43) | 67.28% ( -0.43) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( 0.46) | 17.26% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.42% ( 0.8) | 47.57% ( -0.8) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.65% ( -0.23) | 32.34% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( -0.25) | 68.85% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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