Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
3 - 0
Mainz

Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Mainz 05
52.08% ( 0.78)	23.51% ( -0.22)	24.41% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

0.45)

44.93% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

0.43)

67.28% (

-0.43)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

0.46)

17.26% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42% (

0.8)

47.57% (

-0.8)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.65% (

-0.23)

32.34% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

-0.25)

68.85% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 52.08%

Mainz 05 24.41%

Draw 23.5%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.08%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.41%