Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Mainz 05
39.62% ( 0.12)	23.06% ( -0.04)	37.32% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 65.11% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86% (

0.2)

36.13% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75% (

0.23)

58.24% (

-0.23)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

0.14)

18.78% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.81% (

0.24)

50.19% (

-0.24)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

0.05)

19.83% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.09% (

0.09)

51.91% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 39.62%

Mainz 05 37.32%

Draw 23.05%

Elversberg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 37.32%