Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Ingvartsen (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
40.97% ( -0.47)	24.64% ( 0.04)	34.39% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 58.68% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-0.07)

44.31% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

-0.07)

66.69% (

0.07)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.25)

21.65% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.39)

54.78% (

0.4)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

0.22)

25.1% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2% (

0.31)

59.8% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 40.97%

Stuttgart 34.39%

Draw 24.64%

Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.97%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.39%