Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Mainz
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Stuttgart
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 23' goal
  • goal Wataru Endo 41'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 64'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 78'
  • goal Tanguy Coulibaly 90'+1'

Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Frankfurt 3 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Karim Onisiwo

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Stuttgart 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 40.97% ▼ (-0.48)
Draw 24.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Stuttgart 34.39% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 33.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.98% ▲ (+0.06)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 78.35% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 21.65% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 45.22% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 54.78% ▲ (+0.40)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 0.5 25.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 40.2% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 59.8% ▼ (-0.31)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 40.97%
Draw 24.64%
Stuttgart 34.39%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 34.39%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Serhou Guirassy 36' goal
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 40'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Mainz
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Stuttgart
  • yellowcard Pellegrino Matarazzo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 70'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Stuttgart
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Hiroki Ito 21' goal
  • Orel Mangala 36' yellowcard
  • Borna Sosa 51' goal
  • Borna Sosa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Caricol 9'
  • goal Alexander Hack 39'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
  • Philipp Forster 33' yellowcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 55' goal
  • Silla Wamangituka 72' goal
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 21'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 43'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 54'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mainz
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart
  • Robin Quaison 13' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 37' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 77' redcard
  • goal Silla Wamangituka 45'
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 52'
  • goal Daniel Didavi 61'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 69'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castro 74'
  • goal Mateo Klimowicz 80'
  • goal Sasa Kalajdzic 86'
  • redcard Pascal Stenzel 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Stuttgart
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena (Stuttgart)
Mainz
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 20' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 83' goal
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 85' goal
  • Santiago Ascacibar 89' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Ascacibar 22' (OG)
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 28'
  • goal Alexander Hack 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Brosinski 84'
  • yellowcard Gerrit Holtmann 90'

Form Data

Frankfurt 3 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 3 Schalke
Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern
FC Koln 1 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
Stuttgart 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Hertha Berlin 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Stuttgart 2 - 3 Frankfurt
Stuttgart 2 - 1 Borussia M'bach
Augsburg 1 - 1 Stuttgart
Stuttgart 3 - 3 Dortmund