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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 24.26% ( | 22.44% ( | 53.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( | 40.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( | 62.6% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( | 66.02% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( | 15.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.28% ( | 43.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.29% |