Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.