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Europa League

Freiburg logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
West Ham logo

Freiburg
1 - 2
West Ham

Sallai (49')
Hofler (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paqueta (8'), Aguerd (66')
Alvarez (48')

The Match

Match Report

Nayef Aguerd scores the winner as West Ham United record a 2-1 victory over Freiburg in Thursday's Europa League contest in Germany.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

West Ham United

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
41.26% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)24.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)34.54% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.107 0.11)42.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (0.106 0.11)64.61% (-0.107 -0.11)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38%20.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)53.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.114 0.11)24.03% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.163 0.16)58.29% (-0.165 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 41.26%
    West Ham United 34.54%
    Draw 24.2%
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Freiburg vs West Ham

Freiburg
16.7%
Draw
44.4%
West Ham United
38.9%
36