Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
2 - 3
Freiburg

El Kaabi (40', 74')
Martinez (0'), El Kaabi (35'), Podence (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sallai (9'), Grifo (45+7' pen.), Philipp (86')
Holer (25'), Schmidt (52'), Sallai (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 2-4 Dortmund
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Freiburg
57.23% ( 0.04)	21.85% ( 0.01)	20.92% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.53% (

-0.08)

41.47% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

-0.08)

63.87% (

0.08)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.71% (

-0.02)

14.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.92% (

-0.03)

42.08% (

0.03)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

-0.09)

33.55% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

-0.1)

70.19% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 57.23%

Freiburg 20.92%

Draw 21.85%

Olympiacos	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.23%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.92%